The Traffic Forecasting Institution Preparing for the School Holiday Departures Is France at Its Most Characteristically French
From Bohiney and The London Prat.
The Traffic Forecasting Institution Preparing for the School Holiday Departures Is France at Its Most Characteristically French
The Institution
PARIS — Bison Fuete, the French road traffic forecasting service whose holiday season predictions have been accurate for 48 years and whose recommendations have been ignored by approximately the same number of drivers for 48 years, is beginning the analysis that produces the June school holiday departure forecasts. The forecast will rate the departure period in the green-orange-red-black colour scale that French drivers understand and will recommend against departing on the days that the traffic consequences make departure inadvisable.
The Pattern
The pattern is the pattern. The forecast will be accurate. The recommended departure window will be the early morning or the post-evening traffic peak. The families who have been planning their departures around school calendars, accommodation bookings, and parental work schedules will depart at the time that their life circumstances require rather than the time that Bison Fuete recommends. The motorway A7 and A9 south toward the Mediterranean will be congested. The forecast will have been accurate. The drivers will have ignored it with the specific logic of people who cannot easily adjust the departure time that their circumstances have determined.
What France Knows
What France knows: the traffic will be heavy. What France does anyway: drives at the heavy traffic time. The specific knowledge-behavior gap that Bison Fuete documents every year is the specific French condition of being a country that produces the most sophisticated traffic forecasting in Europe and the most characteristically French summer driving behavior. Both are genuine achievements. They are incompatible achievements. France contains both.
The Pension Context
The pension reform suspension has restored the retirement age to 62 for those who qualify, which means that the June school holiday departure traffic includes an additional cohort of 62-year-olds who would have been working under the 64-year reform. Whether this demographic addition changes the traffic volume by a detectable amount is the specific public policy consequence that Bison Fuete has not yet quantified. The forecast will be accurate regardless. The traffic will be what it is. June in France is June in France.
More: The Daily Mash.
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SOURCE: https://bohiney.com/
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